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Millions bet on Khamenei’s fate: ‘war and death’ wagers surged online

  • March 04, 2026

No one predicted this outcome, although the fine print made the rules clear: after bets on the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei reached a record turnover of half a billion dollars on crypto-based betting platform Polymarket and spilled over to other exchanges, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour announced that the exchange would not permit profits from death-related events.

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